Reports and Publications

NACP Scientific Publications

2020

Valuing Seasonal Climate Forecasts in the Northern Australia Beef Industry

Cobon, D.H., Darbyshire, R., Crean, J., Kodur, S., Simpson, M. and Jarvis, C., 2020. Valuing seasonal climate forecasts in the northern Australia beef industry. Weather, Climate, and Society, 12(1), pp.3-14.

Native Pastures and Beef Cattle Show a Spatially Variable Response to a Changing Climate in Queensland, Australia

Cobon, D.H., Stone, G., Carter, J., McKeon, G., Zhang, B. and Heidemann, H., 2020. Native pastures and beef cattle show a spatially variable response to a changing climate in Queensland, Australia. European Journal of Agronomy, 114, p.126002.

Ocean and Land Forcing of the Record-Breaking Dust Bowl Heatwaves Across Central United States

Cowan, T., Hegerl, G.C., Schurer, A., Tett, S.F., Vautard, R., Yiou, P., Jézéquel, A., Otto, F.E., Harrington, L.J. and Ng, B., 2020. Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States. Nature Communications, 11(1), pp.1-9.

Present-Day Greenhouse Gases Could Cause More Frequent and Longer Dust Bowl Heatwaves

Cowan, T., Undorf, S., Hegerl, G.C., Harrington, L.J. and Otto, F.E., 2020. Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves. Nature Climate Change, pp.1-6.

Insights Into the Value of Seasonal Forecasts to Agriculture

Darbyshire, R., Crean, J., Cashen, M., Anwar, M.R., Broadfoot, K.M., Simpson, M., Cobon, D.H., Pudmenzky, C., Kouadio, L. and Kodur, S., 2020. Insights into the value of seasonal climate forecasts to agriculture. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 64(4), pp.1034-1058.

Insights From CMIP6 For Australia's Future Climate

Grose, M.R., Narsey, S., Delage, F.P., Dowdy, A.J., Bador, M., Boschat, G., Chung, C., Kajtar, J.B., Rauniyar, S., Freund, M.B. and Lyu, K., 2020. Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate. Earth's Future, 8(5), p.e2019EF001469.

Global Climatology of Rainfall Rates and Lifetime Accumulated Rainfall in Tropical Cyclones

Lavender, S.L. and McBride, J.L., 2020. Global climatology of rainfall rates and lifetime accumulated rainfall in tropical cyclones: Influence of cyclone basin, cyclone intensity and cyclone size. International Journal of Climatology.

Flash Droughts Present a New Challenge For Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction

Pendergrass, A.G., Meehl, G.A., Pulwarty, R., Hobbins, M., Hoell, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bonfils, C.J., Gallant, A.J., Hoerling, M., Hoffmann, D. and Kaatz, L., 2020. Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Nature Climate Change, 10(3), pp.191-199.

Creating Positive Synergies Between Risk Management and Transfer to Accelerate Food System Climate Resilience

Mushtaq, S., Kath, J., Stone, R., Henry, R., Läderach, P., Reardon-Smith, K., Cobon, D., Marcussen, T., Cliffe, N., Kristiansen, P. and Pischke, F., 2020. Creating positive synergies between risk management and transfer to accelerate food system climate resilience. Climatic Change, pp.1-14.

Climatology and Variability of the Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) and its Suitability as a Tool to Monitor Australian Drought

Nguyen, H., Otkin, J.A., Wheeler, M.C., Hope, P., Trewin, B. and Pudmenzky, C., 2020. Climatology and Variability of the Evaporative Stress Index and its suitability as a tool to monitor Australian drought. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21(10), pp.2309-2324.

Integrating El Niño-Southern Oscillation Information and Spatial Diversification to Minimize Risk and Maximize Profit for Australian Grazing Enterprises

Nguyen-Huy, T., Kath, J., Mushtaq, S., Cobon, D., Stone, G. and Stone, R., 2020. Integrating El Niño-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 40(1), p.4.

Mechanisms for Multiyear Variations of Northern Australia Wet-Season Rainfall

Sharmila, S. and Hendon, H.H., 2020. Mechanisms of multiyear variations of northern Australia wet-season rainfall. Scientific reports, 10(1), pp.1-11.

Real World and Tropical Cyclone World. Part I

Sharmila, S., Walsh, K.J.E., Thatcher, M., Wales, S. and Utembe, S., 2020. Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part I: High-resolution climate model verification. Journal of Climate, 33(4), pp.1455-1472.

Real World and Tropical Cyclone World. Part II

Walsh, K.J.E., Sharmila, S., Thatcher, M., Wales, S., Utembe, S. and Vaughan, A., 2020. Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part II: sensitivity of tropical cyclone formation to uniform and meridionally varying sea surface temperatures under aquaplanet conditions. Journal of Climate, 33(4), pp.1473-1486.

2019

Review of Tropical Cyclones in the Australian Region: Climatology, Variability, Predictability, and Trends

Chand, S.S., Dowdy, A.J., Ramsay, H.A., Walsh, K.J., Tory, K.J., Power, S.B., Bell, S.S., Lavender, S.L., Ye, H. and Kuleshov, Y., 2019. Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: Climatology, variability, predictability, and trends. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 10(5), p.e602.

Evaluating the Shifts in Rainfall and Pasture Growth Variabilities Across the Pastoral Zone of Australia During the 1910-2010 Period

Cobon, D.H., Kouadio, L., Mushtaq, S., Jarvis, C., Carter, J., Stone, G. and Davis, P., 2019. Evaluating the shifts in rainfall and pasture-growth variabilities across the pastoral zone of Australia during 1910–2010. Crop and Pasture Science, 70(7), pp.634-647.

Forecasting the Extreme Rainfall, Low Temperatures, and Strong Winds Associated With the Northern Queensland Floods of February 2019

Cowan, T., Wheeler, M.C., Alves, O., Narsey, S., de Burgh-Day, C., Griffiths, M., Jarvis, C., Cobon, D.H. and Hawcroft, M.K., 2019. Forecasting the extreme rainfall, low temperatures, and strong winds associated with the northern Queensland floods of February 2019. Weather and Climate Extremes, 26, p.100232.

Are Changes in Atmospheric Circulation Important for Black Carbon Aerosol Impacts on Clouds, Precipitation, and Radiation?

Johnson, B.T., Haywood, J.M. and Hawcroft, M.K., 2019. Are changes in atmospheric circulation important for black carbon aerosol impacts on clouds, precipitation, and radiation?. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124(14), pp.7930-7950.

ETIN-MIP Extratropical-Tropical Interaction Model Intercomparison Project – Protocol and Initial Results

Kang, S.M., Hawcroft, M., Xiang, B., Hwang, Y.T., Cazes, G., Codron, F., Crueger, T., Deser, C., Hodnebrog, O., Kim, H. and Kim, J., 2019. ETIN-MIP Extratropical-Tropical Interaction Model Intercomparison Project–protocol and initial results. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Using the Evaporative Stress Index to Monitor Flash Drought in Australia

Nguyen, H., Wheeler, M.C., Otkin, J.A., Cowan, T., Frost, A. and Stone, R., 2019. Using the evaporative stress index to monitor flash drought in Australia. Environmental Research Letters, 14(6), p.064016.

Reports

2020

Benefit-Cost Analysis of the Drought and Climate Adaptation Program (DCAP0819)

Chudleigh, P., Hardaker, T., Clarke, M (2020) Benefit-Cost Analysis of the Drought and Climate Adaptation Program (DCAP0819). Final Report, Department of Agriculture and Fisheries Queensland

Benefit-Cost Analysis of the Drought and Climate Adaptation Program Appendix 4: An Impact Assessment of USQ4

Chudleigh, P., Hardaker, T., Clarke, M (2020) Benefit-Cost Analysis of the Drought and Climate Adaptation Program (DCAP0819). Final Report, Department of Agriculture and Fisheries Queensland, Northern Australia Climate Program (Phase 2)

DCAP Phase 2 - 2020 Monitoring and Evaluation Annual Report

COUTTS, J., SAMSON, A., COUTTS, B. & RENNIE, L. 2020 Monitoring and Evaluation Annual Report 2020. DCAP Phase 2

Methodology for Producing the Drought Monitor

Pudmenzky, C. Guillory, L. Cobon, D. Nguyen-Huy, T., 2020. Methodology for producing the drought monitor, Northern Australia Climate Program (NACP). https://nacp.org.au/

2019

Drought Outlook Products Review

David Cobon, Thong Nguyen-Huy & Kate Reardon-Smith 2019. Drought Outlook Product Review. Northern Australia Climate Program (NACP). https://nacp.org.au/

DCAP Phase 2 - 2019 Monitoring and Evaluation Annual Report

COUTTS, J., SAMSON, A., COUTTS, B. & RENNIE, L. 2019 Monitoring and Evaluation Annual Report 2019. DCAP Phase 2

2018

DCAP Phase 2 - 2018 Monitoring and Evaluation Annual Report

COUTTS, J., SAMSON, A., COUTTS, B. & RENNIE, L. 2018 Monitoring and Evaluation Annual Report 2018. DCAP Phase 2

2017

Output 3a Identify and provide a map for each industry of the decision-making requirements relevant for sub-seasonal and seasonal climate forecasting information

ICACS 2017. Output 3a Identify and provide a map for each industry of the decision-making requirements relevant for sub-seasonal and seasonal climate forecasting information, RRDfP1 USQ MS 4 Report. In: (ICACS), I. C. F. A. C. S. (ed.). Unpublished: University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba Qld, Australia.

Preliminary Benchmarking Survey Results, Queensland Government Drought and Climate Adaptation Program (DCAP)

COUTTS, J. R. 2017. Preliminary Benchmarking Survey Results, Queensland Government Drought and Climate Adaptation Program (DCAP). In: COUTTS, J. R. (ed.). Unpublished.

DAF DCAP1 Interim M&E Progress Report

COUTTS, J., SAMSON, A., COUTTS, B. & RENNIE, L. 2017. DAF DCAP1 Interim M&E Progress Report. In: R, C. J. (ed.). unpublished.

Northern Australia Climate Project Phase 1

Christa Pudmenzky, David Cobon, Shahbaz Mushtaq & Roger Stone. 2017 Final Report. Meat and Livestock Australia , North Sydney. P.PSH.0791

Scoping Study in Support of a Co-Innovation R&D for Profit Proposal

MUSHTAQ, S., COBON, D. H., PUDMENZKY, C., KATH, J. & REARDON-SMITH, K. 2016. Scoping study in support of a co-innovation R&D for Profit proposal, Final Report to Meat and Livestock Australia. North Sydney, NSW: Meat & Livestock Australia Limited. B.GFB.0003

Other Scientific Publications

2018

Agroclimatology in Grasslands: Linking Agriculture to Climate

Cobon, D.H., Baethgen, W.E., Landman, W., Williams, A., van Garderen, E.A., Johnston, P., Malherbe, J., Maluleke, P., Kgakatsi, I.B. and Davis, P., 2020. Agroclimatology in grasslands. Agroclimatology: Linking Agriculture to Climate, 60, pp.369-423.

2017

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in Cape York

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in Central Queensland

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in Central West Queensland

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in East Downs

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in Far North Queensland

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in the Gulf Region

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in the Maranoa and Districts Region

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in North West Queensland

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in South East Queensland

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in South West Queensland

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in the Townsville-Thuringowa Region

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in the Whitsunday, Hinterland and Mackay Region

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for a Variable and Changing Climate in the Wide Bay Burnett Region

Cobon DH, Terwijn MJ, and Williams AAJ (2017). Impacts and adaptation strategies for a variable and changing climate in 13 NATURAL RESOURCE REGIONS IN QUEENSLAND. International Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia. https://www.usq.edu.au/research/environmental-sciences/qdmc-drought

2009

The Climate Change Risk Management Matrix For the Grazing Industry of Northern Australia

Cobon, D.H., Stone, G.S., Carter, J.O., Scanlan, J.C., Toombs, N.R., Zhang, X., Willcocks, J. and McKeon, G.M., 2009. The climate change risk management matrix for the grazing industry of northern Australia. The Rangeland Journal, 31(1), pp.31-49.

2008

Summative Evaluation of Climate Application Activities with Pastoralists in Western Queensland

Cobon, D.H., Bell, K.L., Park, J.N. and Keogh, D.U., 2008. Summative evaluation of climate application activities with pastoralists in western Queensland. The Rangeland Journal, 30(3), pp.361-374.

2006

Climate Information Needs of Gascoyne-Murchison Pastoralists: a Representative Study of the Western Australian Grazing Industry

Keogh, D.U., Watson, I.W., Bell, K.L., Cobon, D.H. and Dutta, S.C., 2006. Climate information needs of Gascoyne–Murchison pastoralists: a representative study of the Western Australian grazing industry. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 45(12), pp.1613-1625.

2004

Formative Evaluation to Benchmark and Improve Climate-Based Decision Support for Graziers in Western Queensland

Keogh, D.U., Bell, K.L., Park, J.N. and Cobon, D.H., 2004. Formative evaluation to benchmark and improve climate-based decision support for graziers in western Queensland. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 44(3), pp.233-246.

2001

Integrating Climate Forecasts and Geospatial Systems to Enhance Grazing Management in Northern Australia

Park, J.N., Cobon, D. and Crabb, D.M., 2001. Integrating climate forecasts and geospatial systems to enhance grazing management in northern Australia. In Geospatial Information and Agriculture Conference in Everleigh, NSW’.(NSW Agriculture: Sydney.).